Positive EV Betting: Expected Value, Fair Prices and Variance
Positive EV betting explained with worked maths: the expected value formula for American and decimal odds, fair prices from sharp markets, small edges and variance.
Independent guides to how betting odds work, what each market pays and how bets are settled, from parlays and Asian handicaps to each-way golf and IPL markets. Worked examples, no tips for sale, no hype.
63 articlesReturns include your stake. A guide only: settlement rules vary by bookmaker.
SportBetTime explains how sports betting works, market by market and sport by sport. Every guide shows the arithmetic behind its examples, so you can check a payout or a probability yourself rather than take our word for it.
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Not at the moment. Our guides explain markets, settlement rules and pricing so you can make your own decisions. We never describe any bet as guaranteed.
All three. Most examples show decimal odds with fractional and American equivalents, and the guide to how betting odds work explains how to convert between them.
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Positive EV betting explained with worked maths: the expected value formula for American and decimal odds, fair prices from sharp markets, small edges and variance.
What ATS means in betting, how a team covers the spread, how ATS and straight-up records differ, why -110 needs 52.38% to break even and why ATS trends mislead.
Straight, reverse and combination forecasts and tricasts, stake tables for 3 to 6 selections, how CSF and Tote dividends work, and the rules on non-runners.
How ante-post betting works in UK and Irish horse racing: why early prices are bigger, what happens to non-runners, NRNB concessions, each-way terms and a worked price comparison.
How Best Odds Guaranteed works in UK and Irish racing: worked examples against SP, each-way and Rule 4 settlement, the conditions to check, and why an early price with BOG is a free option.